England vs Croatia: odds and preview

Start	Thursday, November 12, 2026 at 7:45 PM UTC
Competition	UEFA Nations League · Football

Our odds

Match result
England	1.61
Draw	4.08
Croatia	4.90
Goal handicap
England (-1)	2.03
Croatia (+1)	1.73
Total goals 3.5
Over 3.5	2.39
Under 3.5	1.54

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Preview

England and Croatia meet in UEFA Nations League on November 12. Our pricing makes England clear favourites: 58% to win, at odds of 1.61. The draw is priced at 4.08, a 23% chance in our model.

England, recent form: W W W L W (4-0-1 in wins, draws and defeats). Croatia, recent form: L L L W W (2-0-3 in wins, draws and defeats). Head-to-head record in our data (England wins, Croatia wins): 1-0. Last meeting: England 7-0 Croatia, on October 3, 2026.

Our total line sits at 3.5: over at 2.39, under at 1.54. For Croatia, an upset here would be a statement result; England have more to lose than to gain. Prices can move until the start, so lock in the one you like.

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