Croatia vs Spain: odds and preview

Start	Tuesday, October 6, 2026 at 6:45 PM UTC
Competition	UEFA Nations League · Football

Our odds

Match result
Croatia	3.80
Draw	3.97
Spain	1.80
Goal handicap
Croatia (+0.5)	1.94
Spain (-0.5)	1.80
Total goals 3.5
Over 3.5	2.17
Under 3.5	1.64

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Preview

Croatia and Spain meet in UEFA Nations League on October 6. Spain hold a slight edge in our numbers: 52% against 25% for Croatia. The draw is priced at 3.97, a 24% chance in our model.

Croatia, recent form: L L W W L (2-0-3 in wins, draws and defeats). Spain, recent form: W W W W D (4-1-0 in wins, draws and defeats). Head-to-head record in our data (Croatia wins, Spain wins): 0-1. Last meeting: Croatia 1-4 Spain, on September 29, 2026.

Our total line sits at 3.5: over at 2.17, under at 1.64. For Croatia, an upset here would be a statement result; Spain have more to lose than to gain. Prices can move until the start, so lock in the one you like.

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