Carlos Alcaraz vs Frances Tiafoe: odds and preview

Start	Monday, November 16, 2026 at 5:00 AM UTC
Competition	Nitto ATP Finals · Tennis
	Best of 3

Our odds

Match winner
Carlos Alcaraz	1.24
Frances Tiafoe	3.75
Map handicap
Carlos Alcaraz (-1.5)	2.06
Frances Tiafoe (+1.5)	1.71
Total games 2.5
Over 2.5	2.13
Under 2.5	1.67

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Preview

Next up in Nitto ATP Finals: Carlos Alcaraz against Frances Tiafoe, on November 16. Carlos Alcaraz go in as the side to beat, with a 75% win chance in our model (1.24).

Carlos Alcaraz, recent form: W W W W W (5-0 in wins and defeats). Frances Tiafoe, recent form: L L L W L (1-4 in wins and defeats).

Our total line sits at 2.5: over at 2.13, under at 1.67. It is played as a best of 3, so one bad game does not settle it. Carlos Alcaraz are expected to deliver. Frances Tiafoe only need one good day to make the price look generous. Open the match in the sportsbook for the full list of markets.

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